EURUSD Elliott Wave: Correction Up To 1.3500 Before Down

EURUSD reversed sharply to the downside in the last few days, clearly in five waves from above 1.3800 with a daily and weekly close price beneath the channel line connected from July lows. This break indicates a change in trend, and possible completion of a larger three wave rally in wave E. But as always we are focused on minimum expectations for the next few days and weeks, and that is a three wave decline from the top which is also expected on the alternate count which shows an incomplete wave E from 2012 low.

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NZDUSD Is Looking Bearish Against 0.8415-Elliott Wave Analysis

The USD moved sharply to the upside on Friday after NFP report, but moves were not so significant against some majors. EUR/USD per example is still above 1.3290 low while AUDUSD and some other commodity currencies seems to be much weaker.

Today, we are looking at NZDUSD that seems to be bearish for wave E) to complete a weekly triangle. So if wave E) is going lower, then short term opportunities could be on lower time frames. On the 4h chart per example we see five waves down and three up to 0.9413 where rally looks completed after recent broken trend line that is now pointing for decline to a new low and possible even to 0.8100 in this week. Any taken shorts on this pair should have stops above 0.9400.

NZDUSD weekly

NZDUSD 4h

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USDJPY Could Fall Lower – Elliott Wave

USDJPY finally broke to the upside yesterday, above former swing high but rally has then stopped at 99.40 from where we have seen a sharp almost 200 pip fall. If we take a closer look now on whole rally from 96.55 then we can see that recovery has unfolded only in three legs which is bearish structure that is pointing now lower, back to 96.55, especially once lower support line of a corrective channel gives way.

USDJPY Elliott Wave 4h

Elliott Wave Education: Zig Zag Pattern

A zig-zag has a 3 sub-wave structure labeled A-B-C. Generally Zig Zag moves counter to the larger trend. Zig-zag is one of the most common corrective Elliott wave patterns.

•        5-3-5 Sub-wave structure

•        Wave A must be a motive wave

•        Wave B can only be a corrective pattern

•        Wave B must be shorter than wave A by price distance

•        Wave C must be a motive wave.

•        It appears in wave two or four in an impulse, wave B in an A-B-C, wave X in a double or triple zig-zag, or wave Y in a triple threes

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USDCHF Remains Bullish Within Impulsive Rise-Elliott Wave Forecast

USDCHF extended its gains in the last week, through 0.9044 swing and more importantly, it moved out of a recent upward channel. This breakout (blue circle) usually occurs in the middle of a wave three of a five wave rally, so if we respect the price action then pair is now forming an important bullish reversal from October lows. With that said, USDCHF is expected to stay in bullish mode, so current slow and sideways price action above 0.9090 is wave 4 of 3) which means that price is expected to rise up in wave 5 of 3) towarss 0.9180-0.9190.

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